Updated at 7:20 p.m. ET
At the halfway point in the six-week enrollment period, 2.4 million people chose a health plan for the 2019 coverage year on HealthCare.gov, the federal health insurance exchange, according to data released Wednesday by the federal Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. That compares with nearly 2.8 million consumers who selected their coverage through the exchange during the first 25 days last year.
Among states with the largest enrollment drops: Pennsylvania (down 25 percent from last year), Missouri (down 25 percent) and Ohio (down 20 percent).
Consumer assistance groups that help with sign-ups think they know why enrollment is down: They don't have the staff to help as many customers as before because the Trump administration slashed funding.
The federal government is spending $10 million this year on navigators who help individuals enroll in coverage. The government spent $36 million in 2017 and $63 million in 2016.
"We don't have the people to provide the enrollment assistance nor to do the outreach and marketing to let people know what's happening," says Jodi Ray at the University of South Florida. She's overseen Florida's largest navigator program since 2014.
Ray's program received $1.2 million in federal funding this year, down from $5 million a year ago. Florida leads the nation in enrollment in the Affordable Care Act marketplace plans.
With less money, Ray can afford to pay only 59 navigators across the state this year, down from 152 a year ago. With fewer navigators, much of the group's counseling is done by phone instead of in person. That complicates the job, she says, because it is much easier to talk with customers in person, while looking at dozens of health plans with different costs and benefits.
Open enrollment in the Obamacare plans began Nov. 1 and will run until Dec. 15 for the 39 states covered by the federal exchange, HealthCare.gov. The other exchanges — run by states — typically extend sign-ups until the end of December or into January.
All these health plans sold under the Affordable Care Act are for people who don't get coverage via their workplace or the government.
Nationwide, navigator groups are scrambling to make up for the loss of federal funding to ensure they can help people make sense of their health insurance options.
Nationally, nearly 800 counties served by the federal marketplace will not have any federally funded navigators this fall — up from 127 counties in 2016, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation.
Federal officials say they are not providing funds for navigators in Iowa, Montana or New Hampshire because no organizations applied in those states.
Nearly 12 million people across the country — including nearly 9 million on the federal exchange — enrolled in Obamacare plans for 2018.
The annual enrollment tally is being closely followed, in part because 2019 marks the first year since the marketplace plans began in 2014 that Americans won't be fined for failing to have health coverage.
But health insurance specialists think the lack of navigator funding could end up having a bigger impact on enrollment. Caroline Gómez-Tom, navigator program manager of Covering Wisconsin, says the end of the individual mandate penalty has been a "nonissue" among people seeking coverage.
"Some folks mention it, but at the end of the day they still walk away with health coverage," she says. "The ability to have coverage at affordable prices outweighs the penalty being gone, because people still see health care insurance as important to have."
Consumers generally have a greater choice of plans for 2019 as more companies enter the individual market and existing plans expand their areas of service. Plus, insurance premiums are dropping in some areas. And where they are rising, the rate of increase is among the lowest in several years.
Katrina McGivern, director of policy and public affairs for the Kansas Association for the Medically Underserved, says people in rural areas of the state will have the most difficulty getting help, as a result of funding cuts.
After five years of experience, she says, she is hopeful that people will be able to figure out how to sign up on their own.
Still, she adds, "we always see a need for people who need assistance to get through it."
Kaiser Health News, a nonprofit news service, is an editorially independent program of the Kaiser Family Foundation, and not affiliated with Kaiser Permanente.